BC Market Surges Back; Good News For Brokers

In a report issued by the Bank of Montreal on Wednesday, the bank assured industry professionals the housing market in British Columbia has achieved a soft landing following a concerning sales drop early in the year.

 “Since bottoming in February, sales in the province have jumped nearly 40% through September, and were more than 50% above year-a go levels in Vancouver,” the report said. “That, plus a falloff in new listings, has all but quashed concerns of a hard landing.”

For his part, BC broker Jessi Johnson attributes the bounce back to clients getting acclimated to the market following the lending rule changes of 2012. And, more interestingly perhaps, the end of a historically beautiful summer.

“Because of the new rules, it was hard for people to qualify and it took people about a year to realize this is the new norm and became more realistic about what they can afford,” Johnson told MortgageBrokerNews.ca. “We noticed business slowed down because the weather was so amazing in the summer. That had a big impact as well but now it is very, very, very busy.”

Factoring in the normalization of pricing in the area, the bank believes the province has stabilized prices.

“British Columbia’s housing market has been in sharp focus recently, as stricter mortgage rules implemented in July 2012 and lofty valuations (particularly in Vancouver) sent sales sliding early in the year,” the report said. “Fortunately, the market appears to have carved out a soft landing, with sales volumes across the province rebounding more than 30% from their February low to near the 10-year average.”

Looking forward, sales are expected to slow slightly due to the rising interest rates.

“With mortgage rates expected to drift gradually higher, housing is expected to be a modest drag on growth through 2014—look for housing starts in the 22,000 range next year, versus this year’s 26,500 pace.”

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Should brokers in these markets be worried?

Desjardins Group Economic Studies released a statement on Tuesday declaring the Canadian housing market is less affordable than the average affordability of the last 25 years, citing the average home prices across the country are eclipsing household income – due, in part, by a rush to buy prior to interest rate hikes.

Mortgage rates during the summer hurried buyers; many took action out of fear that mortgage rates would climb even higher,” the statement said. “Even if the coming months bring more increases; they won't be enough to trigger a significant dip in affordability.”

Most markets, however, are still affordable… outside Quebec and the Toronto, that is.
“Despite a decline in nearly all Ontario CMAs, most markets are still affordable. Toronto is an exception, where the average home price is $527,821, well above that observed in other agglomerations in the province,” the report stated. “The Desjardins Affordability Index is only slightly under the historical average in Calgary, despite relatively high home prices ($438,793 in the third quarter).”

And although housing prices may be lower in hot Quebec markets, they are still considered less affordable than their more expensive counterparts in BC; due to the average income disparity.

“Sherbrooke and Quebec City rank alongside Vancouver as some of the least affordable agglomerations in the country,” the report said. “Even though housing prices are much lower than on the west coast, incomes in these two CMAs are considerably lower, making home purchases more difficult.”

However, the Quebec-based financial services conglomerate reports its home province is experiencing a teeter-totter of sorts; with a lowering in prices in some markets being cancelled out by rising prices in others.

“Rising prices are losing steam in the Quebec City market while prices in Montreal are starting to edge down,” according to the report. “Prices continue to rise, however, for single-family homes, whose market is balanced, overall. Housing prices continued to climb in Gatineau, Sherbrooke, Saguenay and Trois-Rivières, affordability thus deteriorated in the third quarter.”

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Discount Mortgages Dry Up As Canadian Borrowers Face Tough Test

The discount mortgages that stoked the Canadian housing boom are disappearing, increasing the likelihood of a correction in home values.

On Thursday, Royal Bank of Canada will hike its five-year fixed-rate mortgage to 3.89 per cent, one day after the Bank of Montreal raised its rate to 3.79 per cent. The other major lenders are all moving in the same direction.

The increases mean the cost of a new fixed-rate mortgage has climbed by more than a third in five months, signalling what could be the beginning of the end of ultra-cheap credit in Canada – and the start of fiscal pain for consumers who have overburdened themselves with debt.

“I think this is the real thing,” said Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at CIBC World Markets. “This is the end of extremely low interest rates. They’re simply unsustainable.”

So far, interest rates on other kinds of consumer debt are not on the rise, since they are often tied to the Bank of Canada’s benchmark rate, still sitting near a record low. Even so, the rise in mortgage rates will strain the ability of borrowers to juggle their debts.

“This is the beginning of a test for the mortgage market,” Mr. Tal said. “It’s a test of how Canadians are able to tolerate higher interest rates.”

And it is a test that came on swiftly and unexpectedly. Just five months ago, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty publicly scolded both BMO and Manulife Financial for offering mortgages he deemed irresponsibly cheap, advising against a “race to the bottom,” as mortgage rates sank as low as 2.89 per cent.

While the inevitable climb of mortgage rates has had false starts over the past couple of years, the recent hikes could be the first phase of a long-term trend.

“They’re going up every time we turn around,” said Paula Roberts, a Toronto mortgage broker. “It’s a shock to clients. Everybody just thinks they’re always going to stay low.”

As developing economies such as China falter, the United States has re-emerged as the likely engine of global economic growth. The improving U.S. outlook is already pushing up some lending rates, and should eventually reduce the need for central banks in the United States and Canada to hold down short-term interest rates to spur the economy. As long as the United States is making progress, mortgages here will probably continue to get more expensive.

The Canadian housing market is also still recoiling from regulatory changes Mr. Flaherty imposed in recent years in a deliberate attempt to engineer a “soft landing” for overpriced residential real estate. Last year, he reduced the maximum amortization period for a government-insured mortgage to 25 years from 30 years.

Speaking with reporters Wednesday outside a policy retreat in Wakefield, Que., Mr. Flaherty indicated that he sees no need at the moment for further intervention. “There are some bumps along the road in Toronto and Vancouver, in particular in the condo markets, but overall, I’m satisfied that the measures we’ve taken over the last several years have adequately calmed the markets.”

With multiple forces colluding on raising Canadian mortgage rates, the stubbornly strong housing market could finally relent. “Buying the same house will be more expensive this fall than this spring,” said Peter Routledge, an analyst at National Bank Financial.

An expected rise in rates could spur some to buy homes immediately to avoid the increased costs. Other prospective buyers will find they can no longer afford home ownership. “It’s going to limit the people that can buy,” Ms. Roberts said. “And it’s going to take longer for people to get into the market.”

Demand for homes could fall as a result. After that, the magnitude of the market’s reaction is difficult to anticipate. “Housing markets are prone to overreaction in both ways, the upside and the downside,” Mr. Routledge said. “The possibility that you get a vicious cycle goes up as rates go up.”

Visit Dominion Lending Centres Mortgage Village to consult a mortgage professional.

3 Helpful Tips On Debt Consolidation

If your debts have become uncontrollable and you are serious to get out of this financial instability, you must go for debt consolidation. With the help of debt consolidation all your multiple unmanageable debts will be consolidated into a single debt. After consolidating your debts, you also do not need to face the hassle of paying off your creditors separately. All your various creditors are paid off with a single monthly payment that you make to your consolidation company. Thus, there are various benefits of consolidating your debts. However, you must be aware that in order to have a successful debt consolidation, you need to know certain tactics. This article provides you with some tips on debt consolidation that may help you out.

Debt Consolidation Tips

Here are some tips on debt consolidation you need to know before you go for consolidating your debts with the help of a debt consolidation company.

• Reputable company - Before you choose a debt consolidation company, make sure to have a thorough research on the debt consolidation company that you want to go for. Research well online about the company and find out if it is a reputable one. All debt consolidation programs are not equal. Shop thoroughly and this in turn will help you get the best deal that suits your needs. Investigate not only whether they are offering you a low fees or not but also how long the company has been in the business, their experience and reputation.

• Non-profit companies - Non-profit organization may offer you much lower fees but you must keep in mind that non-profit doesn't mean that they are eager to help you out with your financial situation. Some also make fake claims to be a non-profit company in order to attract you. Thus, you need to be cautious about them.

• All debts do not need consolidation - All debts are not similar and may not even need consolidation. Thus, do not unnecessarily consolidate them. Analyze each debt separately. You must read the terms and conditions for each of your debt carefully. Estimate the APR and total cost of loan with help of an online loan amortization calculator. If you find out that your existing unsecured debt is cheaper than the consolidation loan that is being provided to you, it is better to avoid consolidating it.

Apart from these tips mentioned above, you must also figure out the total cost of your debt consolidation loan. Securing a low interest rate provides you with the main benefit of consolidating. Thus, make sure to utilize these tips on debt consolidation if you want to secure a successful consolidation.

Visit Dominion Lending Centres Mortgage Village to consult a mortgage professional.

Canadian House Hunters, Weigh Your Mortgage Options

Before we move into our new house this summer we have a really big decision to make. Do we go with a fixed or a variable rate? The answer to this question varies for everyone depending on their financial situation and tolerance for risk.

According to a popular study by Moshe Milevsky, choosing a variable rate has saved home owners money nearly 90 percent of the time. Sounds like an easy decision then, right? Not exactly.

This Time it’s Different
Interest rates are still at historic lows, with most experts predicting that rates will increase at least 1-2 percent over the next two years. Five-year fixed rates are currently under 4 percent, which is definitely an attractive rate to lock into and protect against the risk of future interest rate hikes.

But if the math favors choosing a variable rate mortgage over time, why are people so divided on this issue?

The vast majority of Canadians still choose the five-year fixed term. Proponents of fixed interest rates enjoy the peace of mind knowing that their payments won’t change and they also feel that we are in one of those rare situations where locking into a five-year term will save home owners money.

Since variable rates are always initially cheaper than five-year fixed mortgage rates, the decision ultimately comes down to saving money now vs. the potential of saving money in the future if interest rates go up.

What Options To Consider?
Let’s take a look at some real numbers to help make our decision. These are the current interest rate options for us, along with some pros and cons to consider:

Five-year variable interest rate = 2.20 percent (prime minus 0.80 percent) – As I mentioned, this is likely the smart choice since the variable rate has saved money nearly 90% of the time vs. a fixed rate. However, this time could very well be different, and if interest rates climb quickly back to historic levels this can become a losing proposition.
Five-year fixed interest rate = 3.89 percent – All things considered, a five-year fixed term under 4 percent is extremely low and would give us the peace of mind knowing that our payments wouldn’t increase even if interest rates soared. On the downside, by choosing this option we would be paying $260 more per month than if we went with the variable rate.
Three-year fixed interest rate = 3.54 percent – This option would give us the flexibility of not locking into a five-year term and also benefiting from a 0.35 percent discount over the five-year term. The monthly payments would still be $200 more than the payments on the variable rate.
1 year fixed interest rate = 2.64 percent – This option might be the best for us if we feel this is still a period of uncertainty. We would maintain our negotiating power after just one year and we also benefit from a 1.25 percent discount off the five-year fixed rate. But if interest rates were to rise quickly over the next 12 months we would still have to renew our mortgage at a higher rate when it came due.
As you can see, the five-year fixed rate has a built-in premium of 1.69 percent over the best variable interest rate. If the Bank of Canada decided to raise interest rates fairly quickly and aggressively over the next few years, the five-year fixed rate would likely be the better option.

Economic Factors at Work
The Bank of Canada meets eight times a year to make interest rate announcements and historically will move the rate by 25 or 50 basis points (0.25 or 0.50 percentage points) at a time. There is definitely the potential for interest rates to move between 2 – 3% in a single year.

The problem is, we are not very good at predicting where interest rates are headed. When it comes to monetary policy, there are a lot of moving parts to consider. It’s not as simple as just trying to contain inflation or trying to prevent a housing bubble.

Think of the soaring Canadian dollar. If interest rates were to rise sharply, the loonie would continue to climb vs. the American dollar, which puts increasing pressure on our manufacturing sector that relies heavily on exports.

Interest rates are indeed at historic lows but, with the outlook of the world economy still very uncertain, it is likely that the Bank of Canada will continue to move cautiously to avoid triggering another recession.

The Affordability Factor
Ultimately, whatever we decide to choose will carry some risk. Often the fixed vs. variable interest rate question is more about affordability than anything. Can your budget handle a 2 percent – 3 percent hike in interest rates? If not, then the fixed rate gives you that peace of mind to know that your payments won’t change for five years. If you can handle an increase in mortgage payments then you might find a great opportunity to save thousands of dollars in interest over the life of your mortgage by choosing the variable rate.

In our case, I think we are leaning toward the five-year variable rate, but with a twist. We will set our payments as if we were paying a 4.5 percent interest rate. This way we will be knocking years off of the overall amortization of our mortgage while saving thousands of dollars of interest. And we will still have the peace of mind knowing that we have built in a 2.3 percent cushion into our monthly payments in case interest rates rise.

Visit Dominion Lending Centres Mortgage Village to consult a mortgage professional.

Useful Tips To Help Your Home Look Its Best!

There is a wealth of information available to those who want to fix up their homes. If you want your home improvement project to be successful, you should follow some basic steps to reduce stress.

Install a lazy Susan in those odd corner cabinets. It can be difficult to properly use the storage space they provide, if you have to get down on your hands and knees to search for the items in the back corners. A lazy Susan will allow you to reach your items easily every time.

Lampshades all look the same. Buy some cheap stencils at your local craft store, and using some acrylic paint or dye based ink pad, dab around the designs, transferring them to your lamp shade. Not only can you match the color or theme of the room, but you can even match the design of rugs or other aspects to tie the room together.

When it comes to home improvement, be sure that none of the workers that will be working on your home have a criminal record. This is important to the safety of you and your family, and also for the security of your belongings. It is not uncommon for you to ask for the names of all the workers that will be on the property. Background checks are available online.

If you love the idea of a home office but just can't spare an entire room, get creative! A large walk-in closet or pantry is the perfect candidate for a mini-office. Most pantries have built-in shelves, which are perfect for a laptop computer, books, a printer, and office supplies.

When you want to replace your flooring, remember that it's very expensive to replace the entire floor throughout the home. One easy thing to do is simply remove the flooring that's in place and then apply stain in an attractive color to the concrete base. You'll have a modern look that can accommodate many different colors.

Strategically placed mirrors, can add visual interest to any room and make the area feel more spacious. This is especially useful in small bathrooms. Use adhesive-backed mirrors from any home improvement center, to create a distinctive design, that adds impact and an illusion of more space. This project can be easily achieved in under an hour and with, as little as, fifty dollars.

Doing your own home improvement project can be both very rewarding and fun. However, it is ideal if you have the best information possible, such as the tips you learned here that will help come up with a plan from start to finish. This will ensure you start your project with the right knowledge at hand.